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MR.
GOOKIN AND THE MONETARY SYSTEM
by
Arthur A. Baer
Read Before
The Chicago
Literary Club
on May 17, 1971
The history of the Federal Reserve System since 1913, when the Federal
Reserve Act was passed by Congress as a result of the mental anguish and
political maneuvering of Woodrow Wilson, who had been dragged out by the
hottest summer Washington had sweltered through in years, is a history of
economic research, reasonably timid experimentation, and, in the opinion of
one group of critics, questionable results.
During the period of almost sixty years since its promising but feeble
beginnings to the present, when it carries on its stalwart shoulders an
unreasonable share of responsibility for the solution of imponderable
problems of world economy and world finance, it has mostly been a plodding
thing, only stirred to brilliant activity by two World Wars, a Great
Depression, a fair number of alarming recessions and an occasional
international monetary crisis.
Certainly, for a number of years now, the Federal Reserve System has earned
the right to be called the central bank of the United
States, even though it is noticeably different in
structure from the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street,
the Reichsbank, and the other great central banks
of Europe. Before it came into being, the
economic and financial progress of the United States, the hope of the
world, was befuddled and was even endangered by lack of leadership and lack
of organization.
At any rate, that was the opinion of Frederick William Gookin, first
secretary of The Chicago Literary Club, whose paper entitled "Our
Defective American Banking System" was read at a Monday night meeting of
the club on November 2, 1908, and was published in February, 1909. Its subtitle
was, "A Diagnosis and a Prescription." The final paragraph of his
paper reads: "Since we must eat and drink, and must supply ourselves
with clothing and shelter, we may defy all the principles of finance and
still continue to exist; we may even, in a country so liberally endowed by
nature as is this land of ours, manage to endure the shocks and losses which
such defiance entails, and by ravishing the natural resources of the land
bring prosperity intermittently to our doors; nevertheless the defiance is
crass stupidity, for which we pay a heavy price. We may struggle for
generations yet with our wretched apology for a banking system; but when at
last we supplant it by a system based on scientific principles we shall be
amazed that we were so long in seeing the light."
His keen intellectual analysis of money and credit at that time was most
praiseworthy and helpful. His vigorous presentation of his "diagnosis
and prescription" brings to mind Ambrose Bierce's definition of the word
"positive" -- being vehement at the top of one's voice. One must
recall, in judging the violence of his language, that the United States
had just been shaken by the disastrous panic of 1907, when "scrip"
was circulated as a very inadequate substitute for currency.
Who was Frederick William Gookin that we are willing to read and consider his
criticism and fit it into a brief study of the monetary history of our
country? At the time he wrote this stirring paper on an abstruse economic
subject he had already won a place as one of the two foremost critics of
Japanese prints in the United
States. As a leading authority and with a
wide acquaintance in the field, he had negotiated the purchase by Clarence
Buckingham of Chicago, of the famous
collection of prints belonging to Ernest Fenellosa,
the eminent Boston
art connoisseur and writer.
The first exhibition of Japanese prints in Chicago was held at the Art Institute in
the year 1903. Six hundred and forty-nine separate items were shown, the
majority coming from Buckingham's collection, but many from the private
collections of Frederick Gookin, Frank Lloyd Wright and others. Mr. Gookin
compiled the catalogue and Wright was responsible for the imaginative
installation of the show. A critic said at the time that no city, other than Paris, could have
staged a comparable exhibition.
When Clarence Buckingham died in 1913, his sister Kate deposited over fifteen
hundred of the magnificent prints by Masanobu, Haranobu,
Hiroshige and Toyonobu
and other masters at the Art Institute. Mr. Gookin became the curator and
remained so for about twenty years.
But he also had a banking background. At the age of seventeen he became a
messenger at the First National Bank of Joliet, spent about ten years with
the private banking firm of Lunt, Preston and Kean, became assistant cashier of the Northwestern
National Bank in 1881, its cashier in 1888 and remained so until it merged
with the Corn Exchange Bank in 1900. He was assistant city cashier of Chicago in 1901 and
1902. When he wrote critically of the banking system of his time he knew
whereof he wrote.
What were his observations? In essence, his bitter attack was two-pronged. In
the first place, he observed that the movement of bank reserves went well in
one direction, but got snarled up in reverse. There were then something over
21,000 banks in the nation (there are now fewer than 14,000 to serve a much
larger population and an infinitely greater commercial complex), and most of
the banks were small and located in the agricultural hinterland.
As crops were sold and livestock marketed, customer deposits swelled in the
local banks, with no place to invest the money. The small banks maintained
reserve accounts with larger banks in their separate areas; those larger
banks transferred excess funds to still larger banks in central locations;
until the funds finally reached the coffers of the great New York City banks. Since interest was
paid on these bank balances all along the line, the New York banks had to find the ultimate
borrower who could use the money profitably. Who was he? Of course, the
market speculator.
But eventually, and usually seasonably, the small banks needed their reserves
to advance to their clients; step by step, the demand moved and grew, from
smaller bank to larger bank, until it reached New York, where, on many an
occasion, the speculators loans could not be liquidated promptly enough, if
at all. The result was tight money, calling of loans, often panic.
Mr. Gookin's remedy for this stupid involvement was
the establishment of a central bank.
But perhaps we might pause for a moment to read Mr. Gookin's
analysis of the market speculators. He writes:
"In itself, it is well
to note, speculation is not necessarily harmful to the common weal. There is
no hard-and-fast line of demarcation between it and so-called legitimate
business. As a matter of fact, both merge imperceptibly into one another. To
an extent much greater than is commonly realized, speculation is a steadying
force so far as prices are concerned. The professional speculators, sometimes
known as market gamblers, are, more especially the larger operators, a
remarkably astute set of men. In general, they merely anticipate normal price
movements and stand to win only when they guess right, though, of course,
their dealings may at times bring about artificial conditions with results
sometimes profitable and sometimes disastrous. The real service of
speculation comes through making a wide and quick market for staple food
supplies, bonds and the shares of joint-stock corporations. Without
speculation, the function of the stock exchanges would be far less
effectively performed; listless markets and wide fluctuations in prices would
almost certainly be the rule and not the exception. But it is just here that
the harm arises and in connection with our banking system the injury that
results is of stupendous magnitude. Because of the quick market for '
securities,' as stocks and bonds are dubbed in the language of ' the street,
they have come to be regarded as the most desirable basis for loans by the
banks. Nevertheless, they represent fixed capital, the fluidity being only
apparent and disappearing when most desired. It is not sound banking for
institutions whose deposit liabilities are payable on demand to invest a
preponderant percentage of their assets in loans upon securities representing
fixed capital."
Mr. Gookin did not accuse
the bankers of being greedy and vicious and blind to the obvious facts, but
merely frightened and slightly befuddled. He felt that to place the "defective
American banking system" on a sound scientific basis involved, in his
words, no experiment whatever.
He writes: "There is not the slightest need of trying anything that has
not been tried over and over again; that is not subject to the test of every-day
use in other countries of first rank."
The remedy, in his mind, was the establishment of a central bank.
But perhaps we could return for a moment to Mr. Gookin's
second "positive" criticism of American banking. This had to do
with the nature of credit. He abhorred our loose lending practices and the
willingness of banks to renew loans, upon maturity, time after time. He uses
the European term "bills receivable" for commercial loans and
states, in italics, that "the bills receivable held by the banks in
the United States
are not liquid assets."
He continues: "Herein lies the vital difference between banking practice
in Europe and America.
And this difference points clearly and unmistakably to the nature of the
change in our method of making loans which must be accomplished if we are
ever to have a scientific banking system, and be even measurably free from
the violent disturbances and distressing conditions to which we are now
periodically subject."
He states that in nearly every bank in the country not more than fifteen
percent of the notes in the banks' portfolios could be relied upon to be paid
when due.
He objects to the lending procedure in a very clear statement: "The
legitimate function of banks is to lend capital in the shape of credit, not
to enter into quasi-partnerships in which either the capital of the banks or
funds entrusted to their custody are embarked in manufacturing,
merchandising, farming, warehousing or in any other business enterprise,
taking all the risks of the business, but gaining only ordinary interest in
return."
He finds the European method of making loans, at that time, in every way
better and safer, and in strict conformity with sound banking principles.
What was it? An agreement was made by the bank to accept bills of exchange
from qualified clients for short periods, usually not more than ninety days.
Such bills were placed with bill brokers for sale in the open market.
He writes:
"As all the European
banks except the central banks make a practice of accepting such paper, based
upon collateral security, or reliable guaranty, or thorough knowledge of the
financial condition, habits and ability of the makers, the market is thus
supplied with bills of the highest class. To some extent the standing of the
makers influences the rate at which the paper sells, but in general the
standing of the accepting bank determines its salability and the question of
individual credit is largely eliminated. But to the bank the preservation of
its credit is of vital importance. It is incumbent that sound judgment be
exercised at all times in accepting bills.
"Over-extension is thus, for the most part, effectively checked and the
whole course of business made safer in consequence Such is the character of
the paper held by the European banks. No stigma attaches to a bank when it
sees fit to dispose of any part of its holdings, either because it needs cash
or because it can reinvest the funds to advantage For such paper the market
is not merely local; it is as wide as the whole world."
Mr. Gookin points our that,
in order to make commercial paper or bills receivable, always a liquid asset,
it is necessary that the market for prime bills should never fall and this
was the primary function of the central banks of Europe.
Thus, it seems, that although Mr. Gookin attacked the then current banking
system on many fronts, finding a number of its procedures, activities and
philosophies inadequate, insufficient, unwise and fundamentally dangerous, he
saw an overall cure in the European system of short-term bank credit
operating under the umbrella of central banking. That was his prescription.
Five years and fifty-one days after Frederick Gookin read his paper to The
Chicago Literary Club, Congress passed the Federal Reserve Act and so created
a central bank for the United
States.
Did it accomplish what he thought it would? That was almost sixty years ago
and we still do not know the answer.
We do know that the development of the Federal Reserve System, including the
Federal Reserve Board and the twelve regional Federal Reserve Banks, has been
a constant struggle, requiring great dedication and perseverance against
ignorance, a smidgeon of greed and powerful vested interests.
The nation takes pride in the group of men who formulated the principles and
wrote the text of the Constitution of the United States. It must also take
pride in the small group of statesmen and legislators, including Woodrow
Wilson and Carter Glass, who put together in the Federal Reserve Act a sound
set of principles, a clear statement of intent, a structure representing the
entire nation, in depth as well as in geographical area and an impervious but
flexible suit of armor resistant to political encroachment. At least, so far.
On this subject and at this time as we currently teeter on the brink of
inflation, it is interesting to read the clear-headed, frank and unemotional
remarks of E. A. Goldenweiser, authority on
monetary policy and the Federal Reserve System: "It is naive to talk
about intrusion of politics into economic decisions. The intrusion is the
other way. Politics is the machinery through which a democracy functions; it
has been in command in Washington
for a century and a half. Economics as such, on the other hand, has been
relatively a newcomer in government. It must function through established
political channels and can hope to make progress toward influencing decisions
only to the extent that it can gradually win popular support by inspiring
confidence in its competence and integrity. The political link is there and
is inevitable."
The quotation is from his volume on American Monetary Policy published in
1951, and is followed by this critical statement: "Under existing
arrangements monetary policy is at a disadvantage because it is not
represented at the Cabinet table and lacks the prestige of a Cabinet post for
its head. It would seem to be in the best interests of the country for the
head of the Federal Reserve, who shapes monetary policy, to have a rank equal
to the Secretary of the Treasury, whose field of responsibility is fiscal
policy."
Originally the Secretary of the Treasury was an ex officio member of the
Federal Reserve Board, as was the Comptroller of the Currency. There were
five other members, selected, in the language of the law, with "due
regard to a fair representation of the different commercial, industrial and
geographical divisions of the country." The Secretary of the Treasury,
with Cabinet status, wielded influence at Board meetings.
W.P.G. Harding, who was an original Board member appointed by President
Wilson and who served for six years as its chairman, was a trained banker but
also a superb politician in a quiet determined way. The following incident
from his memoirs is related to the point. Much too soon after the Federal
Reserve Board was established, the Great War opened in Europe.
At the time of initial crisis the Secretary of the Treasury proposed a huge
loan of fifty million dollars for the Federal Reserve System, secured by
United States Treasury Certificates of Deposit, for ninety days and at the
rate of two percent per annum. A majority of the members of the Federal
Reserve Board and all of the Governors of the Federal Reserve Banks (twelve
in number) felt that the rate proposed was too much below the market and that
it should have been at least two and one-half percent.
Mr. Harding's comment: "However, it was wartime and the Fed took the
loan."
Not many, in the beginning, were attracted by the glamour of appointment to
the Board. Of course, the term of office was fourteen years, but the salary
was so-so. A proposed candidate from Chicago
asked Harding if the Board met once or twice a month. I told him "Every
day." He said, "But, of course, no one ever comes back in the
afternoon?" On the contrary, few members left for the day before five in
the afternoon, frequently not until six or seven. What patronage was there?
He could appoint his own secretary and stenographer, no more. I told him that
the only prerogative of office was that he would find it a little easier than
other people to be admitted into the building, providing he went to the right
door.
But things moved along, despite discouragement and harassment. Very quickly
the System set up reserve requirements for member banks and so one of Mr. Gookin' s prescriptions went into use. Very quickly the
arrangement for clearing checks through the network of twelve regional banks
was inaugurated and has proven a great boon to banks and business alike.
Changing loan and credit ideas in the direction of European practice, as
championed by Mr. Gookin, was never really attempted, but control of credit
was a primary concern of the Federal Reserve System at its beginnings. The
founders believed that the amount of currency and credit would be just right
if issued against "real bills," that is, short-term,
self-liquidating paper based on commercial, industrial and agricultural
transactions. But this policy did not survive for long. As early as 1916 the
Federal Reserve Banks were authorized to make direct advances to member banks
on their promissory notes secured by Government bonds or eligible paper,
which broke the link between self-liquidating transactions and the flow of
credit. In 1934, with the depression developing, the Federal Reserve Banks
were authorized to make working capital loans direct to existing industrial
and commercial businesses unable to get credit through usual channels.
As the years passed, it became clear that the System could not control the
quality of loans, as Mr. Gookin had hoped. It recognized its responsibility
for a smooth economy and the need to direct its policies on money and credit
toward that goal. It developed powerful tools and sharpened them as occasion
demanded. It used its power to control credit by raising or lowering reserve
requirements of the member banks, which are constrained to tighten up on
loans as they are forced to increase the amount of idle funds carried in the
Federal Reserve Banks.
Another effective tool in this area is the Open Market Committee of the
System, which has the authority (and uses it) to buy or sell Government
securities in the market, thus raising or lowering the yields and so
affecting the interest rate, which becomes effective immediately in the rate
at which member banks are ready or eager to make loans, as the case may be.
A third important tool is the Discount Rate, which the member banks are required to pay when they come to the Discount Window
to borrow funds from the Federal Reserve Banks in order to lend to their
customers.
All of these tools are directed toward the goals of making credit less
expensive, or easier, in times of sluggish or declining economic activity or
more expensive (tighter) when booms loom on the horizon.
But the System has another effective means of influencing the quality of
credit. That is the arrangement for periodic examinations of the member banks
all over the country. The surprise audits by the Federal Reserve teams of
examiners include a classification of questionable loans into categories
titled Substandard, Doubtful and Loss, and loans included in the third
category must be written off as bank assets.
However, there was a serious defect in this arrangement for a great many
years in that only about a third of the nation's banks were member banks.
State banks may apply for membership, but many do not, foregoing the
advantages of membership principally in order to be free of the System's
reserve requirements. But now, since practically all banks operate under the
benevolent wing of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, established in
1933, and since that body has adopted the supervisory habits and forms of the
Federal Reserve System, the System's ability to influence the quality of bank
loans has come to be nationwide. Congress has pressed for more central direction
of banking and the entente between the two agencies, with the Comptroller of
the Currency approving, has tightened appreciably. In fact, bankers today are
apoplectically inclined to compare themselves with the railroads as far as
governmental regulation is concerned.
All national banks are examined by national bank examiners. Those Federal
Reserve member banks which are not national banks are examined by Federal
Reserve examiners. All state banks which are not members of the Federal
Reserve System are examined by state bank examiners and by examiners of the
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporati on. The latter
organization is very much interested in the quality of bank loans, since, in
bank failures, it must pay off depositors, to a top limit of $20,000 each,
whether the cause of failure is inadequate management, embezzlement or bad
loans.
Obviously, the tremendous range of bank loans in the increased complexity of
the economic scene, from supposedly secured loans of the local land
speculator to the involved debt structure of the Penn Central, makes it
impossible for the limited examining forces to control adequately the quality
of bank credit. Mr. Gookin's exemplary European
"bills receivable" have gone out the window, along with cuckoo
clocks and in their place we have a galaxy of thirty-year-maturity real
estate mortgage loans, lease lending, term loans, auto loans, vacation loans,
equipment loans, factoring, revolving credit, credit cards, repurchase
agreements, participation loans, warehousing loans, brokers' loans and a
great range of loans partly or fully guaranteed by various and sundry
agencies of the Federal government. Mr. Gookin' s
prescription for a system based on scientific principles has come into being,
has been written into the law of the land, but the monetary authorities are
still unable, because of the tremendous size and complexity of the credit
structure and also because of the ingenuity of the lenders, to control
satisfactorily either the quantity or the quality of credit.
As an aside, one might ask, despite Mr. Gookin, should it be otherwise? As a
nation, do we need something called an incomes policy to maintain our place
in the sun, or do we have the courage to place our faith in the free market
even when the clouds of financial crises are blackest?
Even though the central bank has not found the specific cure for a banking
system that was sick in Mr. Gookin' s day and is
somewhat feverish now, it has been the heart of the scientific spirit, in
governments facing imponderable and deeply involved, monetary, financial and
economic problems.
If there is any hope that inflation, as a social disease, may be cured
through the scientific process, the Federal Reserve System is likely to be
the agent presenting the diagnosis and prescription.
In the meantime, the range of its interests and activities has broadened to
include the monetary, financial and economic problems of the entire world, a
world being cut down to size through the miracles of modern transportation
and communication.
Robert P. Mayo, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, gave a talk before the Bankers
Club of Chicago on December 2, 1970. The title was "The Federal Reserve
System -- Vital and Viable in the Seventies." In it he reminded System
officials, bankers and the general public that the primary function of the
central bank, in a nutshell, is the promotion of the public interest.
"However," he said, "the public interest is in a state of
flux, affected continuously by rapid change, innovation and new dimensions of
sophistication. These facts of life will vastly modify our interpretations of
our objective and also how the System's functions relate to the whole fabric
of society -- not just to the economic process or our financial
machinery."
He did not renounce the System's responsibility in three specific areas:
monetary control, a smoothly running payments mechanism and banking
supervision.
"But," said President Mayo, "I feel that we should interpret
these goals in an environment where effective action may be blocked by relics
of a bygone era in the form of legislation, by structural rigidities or just
by plain lethargy."
He looks forward to a Federal Reserve System which, through its influence on
banking structure, bank performance and availability of credit, will provide
the environment within which banks can meet the needs of agriculture,
housing, urban areas, state and local governments and the international
payments mechanism.
The System is involved in the World Bank, the Export-Import Bank and the
International Monetary Fund. It has a vital interest in the implications of
the Edge Act for international banking, in Eurodollars, in Special Drawing
Rights and even in old-fashioned gold.
If its economics and administrators are smart enough and able enough, and if
it hangs on to its rich relationship with a free and independent Committee
for Economic Development, we may yet live to see the System sitting
contentedly on the brink, wiggling its toes, watching with glee three
life-saving balloons filled with helium, entitled Unemployment Achieved at
Five Percent, Inflation Checked at Three Percent, Balance of Payments
Deficits Turned into Surpluses. Oh happy day!
William McChesney Martin Jr., who headed the System
so ably for a number of years, under Republican and Democratic
administrations, wrote recently: "What is this Federal Reserve policy
that some people are so anxious to change? It is a policy of endeavoring, at
all times, to assure monetary and credit conditions that will foster high
levels of business and employment, maintain the stability of the currency and
promote sustainable growth in the economy. It is a policy of combating, with
equal vigor, the excesses of inflation and deflation alike."
Surely Frederick Gookin would have endorsed that policy. He had the vision,
in his day, to see in the idea of a central bank the cure for the ill health
of a society ravaged by a defective banking system.
True, his vision did not encompass Bretton Woods, nor the ingenuity of the money lenders.
Moreover, Mr. Gookin, being fundamentally an artist, gratuitously abandoned
to science the solution of banking problems. The trouble is that banking is
not an exact science. Neither is economics.
Neither is the monetary system.
We still have work to do, new prescriptions to write.
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